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Insurance analytics: prediction, explainability and fairness

This article was written jointly with Kjersti Aas (Norwegian Computing Center & Norwegian University of Science and Technology), Fei Huang (University of New South Wales) and Ronald Richman (Old Mutual Insure & University of the Witwatersrand), for the introduction of a special issue of the Annals of Actuarial Science.

.The expanding application of advanced analytics in insurance has generated numerous opportunities, such as more accurate predictive modelling powered by Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods, the utilization of novel and unstructured datasets, and the automation of key operations. Significant advances in these areas are being made through novel applications and adaptations of predictive modelling techniques for insurance purposes, while, concurrently, rapid advances in machine learning methods are being made outside of the insurance sector. However, , these innovations also bring substantial challenges, particularly around the transparency, explanation, and fairness of complex algorithmic models and the economic and societal impacts of their adoption in decision-making. As insurance is a highly regulated industry, models may be required by regulators to be explainable, in order to enable analysis of the basis for decision making. Due to the societal importance of insurance, significant attention is being paid to ensuring that insurance models do not discriminate unfairly. In this special issue, we feature papers that explore key issues in insurance analytics, focusing on prediction, explainability, and fairness.


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Insurance analytics: prediction, explainability and fairness (call for papers)

Call for papers: Insurance analytics: prediction, explainability and fairness –  special issue of the Annals of Actuarial Science. Submissions open 1 December 2022 and close 30 September 2023. With Kjersti Aas (Norwegian Computing Center & Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU)), Ronald Richman (Old Mutual Insure & University of the Witwatersrand) and myself, serving as guest editors,

Scope of the special issue:
·        Methodological innovations in predictive analytics applied in insurance
·        Case studies of applications of machine learning and artificial intelligence within insurance
·        Methods for interpreting predictive models and designing inherently explainable models
·        Addressing discrimination and fairness considerations in insurance pricing and related applications
·        Algorithmic auditing and validation of predictive models in insurance
·        Software that enables the operationalisation of methods relating to the scope of the special issue
·        New developments with insurance applications in areas closely related to actuarial science

This special issue aims to capture leading academic thinking and industry applications in advanced insurance analytics. Submissions should demonstrate advances in at least one of the domains of predictive accuracy, explainable modelling and fairness. More…